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2024-12-14 01:05:45

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The list of members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region was announced. According to the relevant provisions of the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region, the sixth Chief Executive of the Macao Special Administrative Region has completed the preparatory work for the members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region. Eleven people have accepted the invitation to serve as members of the Executive Council: Zhang Yongchun, Ou Anli, Chen Zewu, Ma Zhiyi, Chen Jialiang, Ye Zhaojia, Liu Yiliang, Liang Weifeng, Song Biqi, Tang Jizong and Yu Chengbin. The relevant executive order will be announced on December 20, and 11 members of the Executive Council will be sworn in on the same day. The Executive Council is an organization that assists the Chief Executive in making decisions. The sixth Chief Executive, Cen Haohui, is convinced that all the appointed members can support and implement the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China, be loyal to the People's Republic of China (PRC) Special Administrative Region, be devoted to their duties, be honest and perform their duties, safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests, accurately implement the principle of "one country, two systems" and ensure the stability and far-reaching implementation of "one country, two systems" in Macao.Tianyuan Environmental Protection set up a construction engineering company in Xinjiang. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Xinjiang Tianyuan Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. was established with Xuan Wang as its legal representative and a registered capital of 50 million yuan. Its business scope includes: construction; Subcontracting of construction services; Construction professional work, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Tianyuan Environmental Protection.


According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with three major rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil, and South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with the heads of sovereign ratings of three major credit rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil in South Korea. According to the announcement issued by South Korea's Ministry of Finance on Friday, Finance Minister Cui Xiangmu held a conference call with S&P, Moody's and Fitch, telling them that major domestic institutions are operating normally, and said that the previous two presidential impeachments had limited impact on the economy, suggesting that the development of the situation would not have an impact on South Korea's economic activities. South Korea currently receives Moody's Aa2 rating, Standard & Poor's AA rating and Fitch's AA- rating. The rating outlook of the three major rating agencies for South Korea is "stable".


Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Meeting held on December 13th, Beijing launched the online game boutique publishing project. The online game boutique publishing project combines the functional orientation of the capital, highlights the characteristics of the capital, excavates the cultural elements of Beijing, focuses on five key directions, implements five supporting mechanisms to excavate and incubate the boutique, and guides and drives the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. Five key directions, namely, spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms will be implemented for the game works and enterprises selected for the top-quality game publishing project in Beijing, namely, priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism, so as to increase support for the innovative creation of top-quality games. (beijing communication radio)South Korean police said on the 13th that they were considering detaining and searching the correspondence records of President Yin Xiyue and the presidential residence. (Xinhua News Agency)The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit a new low since November 26th, and is now reported at 1.0463.

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